{
"revenue_history": [
562.77,
788.9,
1248.26,
1108.61,
1379.47,
1441.45
],
"net_profit_history": [
274.51,
69.04,
132.66,
-42.63,
178.81,
154.87
],
"financial_years": [
"2020",
"2021",
"2022",
"2023",
"2024",
"2025"
],
"roe_history": [
74.43,
12.91,
21.01,
-6.38,
25.1,
20.57
],
"financial_health": {
"current_ratio": 0.9132,
"debt_ratio": 50.7312,
"net_margin_pct": -4.0883
},
"roe": "-1.6%",
"net_margin": "-4.1%",
"dupont": {
"net_margin_pct": -4.09,
"asset_turnover": 0.171,
"equity_multiplier": 2.03,
"roe_reconstructed_pct": -1.42,
"roe_quality": "balanced"
},
"revenue_growth": "+4.5%",
"dividend_years": [
"2022",
"2023",
"2024",
"2025",
"2026"
],
"dividend_amounts": [
2.48,
7.38,
8.35,
15.02,
4.27
],
"dividend_yields": [
0.12,
0.37,
0.42,
0.75,
0.21
],
"agent_audited": {
"currency": "CNY",
"unit": "billion",
"revenue_2020_2025": [
56.277,
78.89,
124.826,
110.861,
137.947,
144.145
],
"parent_net_profit_2020_2025": [
27.451,
6.904,
13.266,
-4.263,
17.881,
15.487
],
"roe_pct_2020_2025": [
74.43,
12.91,
21.01,
-6.38,
25.1,
20.57
],
"fy2025": {
"revenue": 144.144965,
"parent_net_profit": 15.486891,
... (truncated)
{
"as_of": "2026-07-31",
"price": 39.26,
"market_cap_bn": 226.648,
"pe_ttm_screen": 23.1724,
"pb_mrq": 2.6274,
"ps_ttm": 1.6426,
"history_2021_2026": {
"positive_pe_percentile_pct": 85.02,
"pb_percentile_pct": 2.96,
"ps_percentile_pct": 15.91,
"pe_quantiles": {
"p10": 9.659,
"p25": 11.509,
"median": 14.368,
"p75": 20.679,
"p90": 24.822
},
"pb_quantiles": {
"p10": 2.933,
"p25": 3.289,
"median": 3.771,
"p75": 5.374,
"p90": 6.671
},
"ps_quantiles": {
"p10": 1.603,
"p25": 1.698,
"median": 1.945,
"p75": 3.681,
"p90": 4.325
}
},
"pro_forma_h1_ttm_parent_net_profit_bn": "-1.743至-0.743",
"post_h1_parent_equity_estimate_bn": "79.36至80.36",
"post_h1_pb_estimate": "2.82至2.86",
"normalized_scenario": {
"bear": {
"probability_pct": 35,
"pig_price": "10.5-12.0元/kg",
"complete_cost": "11.3-11.6元/kg",
"parent_profit": "亏损至接近盈亏平衡",
"value_per_share": "27-32元"
},
"base": {
"probability_pct": 50,
"pig_price": "13.5-14.5元/kg",
"complete_cost": "11.2-11.5元/kg",
"parent_profit": "150-220亿元",
"value_per_share": "34-48元"
},
"bull": {
"probability_pct": 15,
"pig_price": "15.5-16.5元/kg",
"complete_cost": "11.0-11.3元/kg",
"parent_profit": "300-400亿元",
"value_per_share": "55-70元"
},
"weighted_central_value": 40.0,
"fair_range": "34-46元"
... (truncated)
{
"moat_type": "成本曲线与一体化运营",
"scores": {
"biosecurity": 9,
"breeding": 8,
"feed_and_procurement": 8,
"scale": 9,
"pricing_power": 2
},
"evidence": [
"2025年完全成本约12元/kg,较上年下降约2元/kg;2026年目标降至11.5元/kg以下。",
"自繁自养、育种、饲料、智能化猪舍、屠宰形成闭环,商品猪市占率由2023年约8.6%升至2025年约10.8%。",
"商品猪是标准化商品,公司对猪价没有定价权;成本领先只能提高跨周期存活率,不能消除亏损。"
],
"verdict": "护城河真实且可量化,但表现为低成本生存权,而非稳定提价权。"
}
{
"kline_count": 624,
"indicators": {
"last_close": 39.26,
"ma5": 39.338,
"ma10": 39.454,
"ma20": 39.0385,
"ma60": 37.682,
"ma120": 41.45625,
"ma200": 44.3613,
"above_ma20": true,
"above_ma200": false,
"ma_bull_alignment": false,
"macd_dif": 0.6737313735616013,
"macd_dea": 0.7273207110502028,
"macd_hist": -0.10717867497720301,
"macd_golden_cross": false,
"rsi_14": 53.40364333652926,
"kdj_k": 39.3,
"kdj_d": 43.6,
"kdj_j": 30.8,
"obv": 730915582.0,
"obv_trend_up": true,
"williams_r": -56.8,
"year_high": 57.13,
"year_low": 32.36,
"pct_from_year_high": -31.27953789602661,
"stage": 4,
"vol_5_vs_20": 0.7832449212531434,
"vcp_score": 0.07451847916889276
},
"stage": "Stage 4 下跌",
"ma_align": "非多头",
"macd": "死叉水上",
"rsi": "53",
"chip_distribution": {
"error": "HTTPSConnectionPool(host='push2his.eastmoney.com', port=443): Max retries exceeded with url: /api/qt/stock/kline/get?secid=0.002714&fields1=f1%2Cf2%2Cf3%2Cf4%2Cf5%2Cf6&fields2=f51%2Cf52%2Cf53%2Cf54%2Cf55%2Cf56%2Cf57%2Cf58%2Cf59%2Cf60%2Cf61&klt=101&fqt=1&end=20260802&lmt=210 (Caused by ProxyError('Unable to connect to proxy', RemoteDisconnected('Remote end closed connection without response')))"
},
"candles_60d": [
{
"date": "2026-05-08",
"open": 43.77,
"close": 43.04,
"high": 44.08,
"low": 42.94
},
{
"date": "2026-05-11",
"open": 43.37,
"cl
... (truncated)
{
"_disabled": "mini_racer skipped (env / sentinel)"
}
{
"lhb_count_30d": 0,
"lhb_records": [],
"matched_youzi": [],
"matched_youzi_detail": {},
"inst_vs_youzi": {
"institutional_buy": 0.0,
"institutional_sell": 0.0,
"institutional_net": 0.0,
"youzi_buy": 0.0,
"youzi_sell": 0.0,
"youzi_net": 0.0
},
"sector_lhb_top50": [],
"sector_leader_hint": null
}
{
"industry": "生猪养殖",
"self": {
"name": "牧原股份",
"ticker": "002714.SZ",
"pe": 23.17,
"pb": 2.627,
"ps": 1.643,
"status": "H1预告后TTM将转负"
},
"peer_table": [
{
"name": "牧原股份",
"ticker": "002714.SZ",
"pe": 23.17,
"pb": 2.627,
"ps": 1.643,
"status": "H1预告后TTM将转负"
},
{
"name": "温氏股份",
"ticker": "300498.SZ",
"pe": 42.95,
"pb": 2.37,
"ps": 0.902,
"status": "正PE"
},
{
"name": "新希望",
"ticker": "000876.SZ",
"pe": null,
"pb": 1.673,
"ps": 0.287,
"status": "亏损"
},
{
"name": "神农集团",
"ticker": "605296.SH",
"pe": null,
"pb": 3.658,
"ps": 3.01,
"status": "亏损"
},
{
"name": "华统股份",
"ticker": "002840.SZ",
"pe": null,
"pb": 1.715,
"ps": 0.785,
"status": "亏损"
},
{
"name": "东瑞股份",
"ticker": "001201.SZ",
"pe": null,
"pb": 0.961,
"ps": 1.289,
"status": "亏损"
},
{
"name": "唐人神",
"ticker": "002567.SZ",
"pe": null,
"pb": 1.241,
"ps": 0.218,
"status": "亏损"
},
{
"name": "京基智农",
"ticker": "000048.SZ",
"pe": null,
"pb": 2.655,
"ps": 2.016,
"status": "亏损"
}
],
"peer_comparison": "八家公司中仅牧原和温氏保留正的屏幕TTM PE;多数同行已亏损,PE横比失效。牧原PB高于样本中位数、但远低于自身2021年以来中位数,反映周期底部与H股增资共同作用。",
"source": "Baostock 2026-07-31收盘截面"
}
{
"main_business_breakdown": [
{
"name": "养殖业务",
"value": 1.0
},
{
"name": "生猪",
"value": 1.0
},
{
"name": "国内",
"value": 1.0
},
{
"name": "屠宰、肉食业务",
"value": 0.3
},
{
"name": "屠宰、肉食产品",
"value": 0.3
},
{
"name": "贸易业务",
"value": 0.0
}
],
"main_business_raw": [
{
"股票代码": "002714",
"报告日期": "2025-12-31",
"分类类型": "按行业分类",
"主营构成": "养殖业务",
"主营收入": 140207176872.34,
"收入比例": 0.972682,
"主营成本": 115970785673.49,
"成本比例": 0.978978,
"主营利润": 24236391198.85,
"利润比例": 0.943641,
"毛利率": 0.172861
},
{
"股票代码": "002714",
"报告日期": "2025-12-31",
"分类类型": "按行业分类",
"主营构成": "屠宰、肉食业务",
"主营收入": 45227649162.89,
"收入比例": 0.313765,
"主营成本": 44018282257.28,
"成本比例": 0.371584,
"主营利润": 1209366905.61,
"利润比例": 0.047087,
"毛利率": 0.02674
},
{
"股票代码": "002714",
"报告日期": "2025-12-31",
"分类类型": "按行业分类",
"主营构成": "贸易业务",
"主营收入": 3341834835.4,
"收入比例": 0.023184,
"主营成本": 3336117738.38,
"成本比例": 0.028162,
"主营利润": 5717097.02,
"利润比例": 0.000223,
"毛利率": 0.001711
},
{
"股票代码": "002714",
"报告日期": "2025-12-31",
"分类类型": "按行业分类",
"主营构成": "其他(补充)",
"主营收入": 1146881403.06,
"收入比例": 0.007956,
"主营成本": 1003288911.39,
"成本比例": 0.008469,
"主营利润": 143592491
... (truncated)
{
"_disabled": "mini_racer skipped (env / sentinel)",
"_autofill": {
"query": "综合 2026 行业增速 TAM 市场规模 渗透率",
"snippet": "【2026年最新】市場規模・成長率ランキングTOP10|伸びる業界の見極め方 – CREXコンサルティング|戦略 × AI/DX × BPOで事業を実装まで伴走 — May 20, 2026 - 新規事業では、一定規模以上かつ一定成長率以上という条件で市場を絞り込み、候補数を10〜20に圧縮するのが一般的な進め方です。TAM;高盛—全球冷却系统行业-AI服务器出货量增长推动全球服务器冷却市场规模_腾讯新闻 — November 2, 2025 - • 技术路线:液冷市场扩张主导增长,2025年液冷TAM预计达54亿美元(同比增长357%),2026年达116亿美元(同;2026年全球及中国工业",
"source": "ddgs"
},
"growth": "【2026年最新】市場規模・成長率ランキングTOP10|伸びる業界の見極め方 – CREXコンサルティング|戦略 × AI/DX × BPOで事業を実装まで伴走…"
}
{
"core_material": "—",
"price_trend": "—",
"price_history_12m": [],
"materials_detail": [],
"cost_share": "—",
"import_dep": "—",
"industry_resolved": "综合",
"_autofill_failed": {
"query": "牧原股份 002714 主营业务 主要原材料 成本构成",
"reason": "MX/ddgs 都没有返回内容"
}
}
{
"linked_contract": "无直接关联品种",
"contract_trend": "宝城期货品种套利数据日报-洞见研报-行业报告 — 洞见研报-洞见趋势研判未来 | 最新行业研究报告下载,行业分析报告,咨…",
"note": "综合 行业与期货市场无强相关品种",
"_autofill": {
"query": "综合 行业 上下游 期货品种 套保 大宗",
"snippet": "宝城期货品种套利数据日报-洞见研报-行业报告 — 洞见研报-洞见趋势研判未来 | 最新行业研究报告下载,行业分析报告,咨询报告,行业智库.宝城期货研究所. 宝城期货.;8.18棉纱期货挂牌! 合约权威解读及设计说明都在这 — (三)与棉花期货保持一致,便于跨品种套保、套利. 棉花与棉纱分别属于棉纺织产业链上的原料及原料加工环节,具有紧密的上下游价格联动关系,期货市场跨品种套保及套利需;博易大师百科全书 — (三)与棉花期货保持一致,便于跨品种套保、套利. 棉花与棉纱分别属于棉纺织产业链上的原料及原料加工环节,具有紧密的上下游价格联动关系,期货市场跨品种套保及套利需",
"source": "ddgs"
}
}
{
"pledge": [
{
"序号": 1161,
"股票代码": "002714",
"股票简称": "牧原股份",
"交易日期": "2024-09-06",
"所属行业": "养殖业",
"质押比例": 8.99,
"质押股数": 49131.0,
"质押市值": 1871891.1,
"质押笔数": 35,
"无限售股质押数": 49131.0,
"限售股质押数": 0.0,
"近一年涨跌幅": -6.54893304,
"所属行业代码": "1259"
}
],
"insider_trades_1y": [],
"qualitative_search": [
"002714.SZ 关联交易 违规 处罚",
"002714.SZ 股权激励"
],
"agent_audited": {
"controller_voting_rights_pct_2025": 51.38,
"interpretation": "控股股东与实控人利益绑定较强,但中小股东治理制衡相对弱。",
"a_share_treasury_stock_million": 69.586,
"management_purchase_2026_bn": 0.5,
"h_share_net_proceeds_bn_cny": 10.4816,
"h_share_proceeds_plan": {
"overseas_expansion_pct": 60,
"innovation_pct": 30,
"working_capital_pct": 10
},
"h_share_unused_proceeds_bn": 9.271,
"h_share_buyback_plan_hkd_bn": "0.3-0.5",
"note": "Q1负债率下降有H股权益募资的显著贡献,不能全部归因于经营去杠杆。"
}
}
{
"event_timeline": [
"2026-07-27 · 牧原等猪企迎利好:单季去化124万头,能繁母猪触政策底线,猪价拐点来了?",
"2026-07-20 · 牧原股份:董事及高管增持计划实施完毕 累计增持金额5亿元",
"2026-07-20 · 牧原股份:部分董事及高管累计增持1264万股 金额5亿元",
"2026-07-20 · 鹏华金城混合D:2026年第二季度利润84.41万元 净值增长率7.95%",
"2026-07-17 · 时代锐评|从“猴”概念股炒至“西游记”概念股,无厘头炒作可休矣",
"2026-07-10 · 牧原股份:预计上半年亏损57亿元~67亿元",
"2026-07-10 · 牧原股份:预计2026年半年度净亏损57亿元至67亿元 生猪销售价格同比大幅下降",
"2026-06-26 · 上证早知道|002714,董事高管拟增持不低于4亿元;600500,机构席位净买入2亿元"
],
"recent_news": [
{
"date": "2026-06-26 06:43",
"title": "上证早知道|002714,董事高管拟增持不低于4亿元;600500,机构席位净买入2亿元",
"type": "新闻",
"source": "上海证券报"
},
{
"date": "2026-07-27 13:50",
"title": "牧原等猪企迎利好:单季去化124万头,能繁母猪触政策底线,猪价拐点来了?",
"type": "新闻",
"source": "财中社"
},
{
"date": "2026-07-20 18:15",
"title": "牧原股份:部分董事及高管累计增持1264万股 金额5亿元",
"type": "新闻",
"source": "财中社"
},
{
"date": "2026-07-20 21:55",
"title": "牧原股份:董事及高管增持计划实施完毕 累计增持金额5亿元",
"type": "新闻",
"source": "中国证券报·中证网"
},
{
"date": "2026-07-20 09:26",
"title": "鹏华金城混合D:2026年第二季度利润84.41万元 净值增长率7.95%",
"type": "新闻",
"source": "中国证券报·中证网"
},
{
"date": "2026-07-17 11:34",
"title": "时代锐评|从“猴”概念股炒至“西游记”概念股,无厘头炒作可休矣",
"type": "新闻",
"source": "时代周报"
},
{
"date": "2026-07-10 18:37",
"title": "牧原股份:预计2026年半年度净亏损57亿元至67亿元 生猪销售价格同比大幅下降",
"type": "新闻",
"source": "每日经济新闻"
},
... (truncated)
{
"report_count": 60,
"coverage": "13 家",
"coverage_count": 13,
"rating": "买入 53 / 增持 7",
"rating_distribution": {
"买入": 53,
"增持": 7
},
"buy_rating_pct": 100.0,
"target_price_avg": 67.19,
"target_avg": "¥67.19",
"consensus_eps_2026": 3.31,
"consensus_pe_2026": 20.3,
"consensus_eps_2027": 5.21,
"recent_reports": [
{
"date": "2026-05-01",
"title": "生猪价格低迷致亏损,屠宰业务盈利向好",
"broker": "中邮证券",
"rating": "买入",
"pdf": "https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202605011821928225_1.pdf",
"eps_2026": 1.27,
"pe_2026": 33.39
},
{
"date": "2026-04-26",
"title": "牧原股份:屠宰业务持续盈利,资产负债率进一步下降",
"broker": "太平洋",
"rating": "买入",
"pdf": "https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202604261821586932_1.pdf",
"eps_2026": 0.74,
"pe_2026": 60.73
},
{
"date": "2026-04-26",
"title": "2026年一季报点评:养殖成本逐步下降,国际化战略稳步推进",
"broker": "国信证券",
"rating": "增持",
"pdf": "https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202604261821586829_1.pdf",
"eps_2026": 0.61,
"pe_2026": 74.6
},
{
"date": "2026-04-22",
"title": "成本持续优化,龙头韧性十足",
"broker": "国金证券",
"rating": "买入",
"pdf": "https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202604221821435781_1.pdf",
"eps_2026": 0.996,
"pe_2026": 45.39
},
{
"date": "2026-04-08",
"title": "2025年年报点评:成本优势持续强化,屠宰业务首次盈利,海外布局加速",
"broker": "西南证券",
"rating": "买入",
"pdf": "https://pdf.dfcfw.com
... (truncated)
{
"rate_cycle": "利好(2026 货币政策)",
"fx_trend": "利好(人民币走势)",
"geo_risk": "中性(地缘风险)",
"commodity": "中性(大宗周期)",
"industry_macro_impact": "中性",
"web_search_snippets": {
"rate_cycle": [
{
"title": "央行定调2026货币政策 降准降息“灵活高效”_中共上海市委金融委员会办公室、中共上海市金融工作委员会",
"body": "January 7, 2026 - 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青认为,围绕“五篇大文章”落地,2026年央行将优化用好各类结构性货币政策工具,总体呈现“加量降价”态势——工具额度大概率稳步增加,操作利率将随降息进程适度下调。结构性工具的持续发力,不仅能推动金融资源向科技创新、制造业转型升级、绿色发展、小微企业及促消费稳外贸等领域集聚,助力新旧增长动能转换和高质量发展,还能发挥“以结构带总量”的作用,",
"url": "https://jrj.sh.gov.cn/SCDT197/20260107/0bb97e7d9d10437c96d224a87c916409.html"
},
{
"title": "2026年第一季度中国货币政策大事记_中共上海市委金融委员会办公室、中共上海市金融工作委员会",
"body": "May 12, 2026 - 1月15日,中国人民银行印发《关于下调再贷款、再贴现利率的通知》(银发〔2026〕9号),决定自1月19日起下调再贷款、再贴现利率0.25个百分点。调整后,3个月、6个月和1年期支农支小再贷款利率分别为0.95%、1.15%和1.25%,...",
"url": "https://jrj.sh.gov.cn/SCGK194/20260512/2c2e0aa42cda4d30b4461f8e5775596e.html"
},
{
"title": "中国货币政策执行报告 2026 年第一季度 中国人民银行货币政策分析小组 2026 年5 月11 日",
"body": "May 11, 2026 - 体系结构持续变化,货币政策调控框架正向价格型调控为主转型,当前我国债券 · 市场定价效率、机构债券投资交易和风险管理能力仍有待提升。银行作为最主要 · 的债券投资交易者、做市商和公开市场一级交易商,在债券价格发现、形成和市 · 场稳定中发挥重要作用,是利率传导的第一道关口。中国人民银行通过债券市场",
"url": "https://jrj.sh.gov.cn/cmsres/5a/5ae23d4703d4409b8c2b2c325c40b774/b0233b6bfdbe3826e365a66f35d86f83.pdf"
}
],
"us_rate": [
{
"title": "央行定调2026货币政策 降准降息“灵活高效”_中共上海市委金融委员会办公室、中共上海市金融工作委员会",
"body": "January 7, 2026 - 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青认为,围绕“五篇大文章”落地,2026年央行将优化
... (truncated)
{
"policy_dir": "积极",
"subsidy": "积极",
"monitoring": "积极",
"anti_trust": "积极",
"snippets": {
"policy_dir": [
{
"title": "【2026年“两新”政策更加注重提质增效】-国家发展和改革委员会",
"body": "December 31, 2025 - 党的二十届四中全会提出,坚持扩大内需这个战略基点,坚持惠民生和促消费紧密结合,促进消费和投资、供给和需求的良性互动。中央经济工作会议将“坚持内需主导,建设强大国内市场”置于2026年八项重点任务之首,...",
"url": "https://www.ndrc.gov.cn/xxgk/jd/jd/202512/t20251231_1402889.html"
},
{
"title": "[厦门]:我市出台措施推动2026年一季度经济运行稳中向好 _ 市县要闻 _ 福建省发展和改革委员会",
"body": "January 4, 2026 - ●支持外贸企业开拓市场 加大新兴市场开拓支持,对企业赴共建“一带一路”国家、金砖国家参展补助费用予以叠加扶持;对跨境电商公共海外仓予以奖励;支持外贸综合企业延伸服务链条,提升服务黏性,更好支持本地...",
"url": "https://fgw.fujian.gov.cn/zwgk/xwdt/sxdt/202601/t20260109_7073172.htm"
},
{
"title": "【【专家解读】2026年“两新”政策更加注重提质增效】-国家发展和改革委员会",
"body": "January 13, 2026 - 党的二十届四中全会提出,坚持扩大内需这个战略基点,坚持惠民生和促消费紧密结合,促进消费和投资、供给和需求的良性互动。中央经济工作会议将“坚持内需主导,建设强大国内市场”置于2026年八项重点任务之首,...",
"url": "https://www.ndrc.gov.cn/wsdwhfz/202601/t20260113_1403229.html"
}
],
"subsidy": [
{
"title": "【2026年“两新”政策更加注重提质增效】-国家发展和改革委员会",
"body": "December 31, 2025 - 党的二十届四中全会提出,坚持扩大内需这个战略基点,坚持惠民生和促消费紧密结合,促进消费和投资、供给和需求的良性互动。中央经济工作会议将“坚持内需主导,建设强大国内市场”置于2026年八项重点任务之首,...",
"url": "https://www.ndrc.gov.cn/xxgk/jd/jd/202512/t20251231_1402889.html"
},
{
"title": "[厦门]:我市出台措施推动2026年一季度经济运行稳中向好 _ 市县要闻 _ 福建省发展和改革委员会",
"body": "January 4, 2026 - ●支持外贸企业开拓市场 加大新兴市场开拓支持,对企业赴共建“一带一路”国家、金
... (truncated)
{
"xueqiu_heat": "热度 100",
"thermometer_value": 100,
"guba_volume": "4 条结果",
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{
"title": "牧原股份(SZ002714)股票股价_股价行情_财报_数据报告 - 雪球",
"body": "1 month ago - $牧原股份(SZ002714)$ 我看牧原应该会在能繁降低到3750之后,逐渐去库存的情况下进行一个不小的增长。 2027年目标价,55。 2026.8目标节,45。 最近的生猪肉价格明显错配,国家要求污染性企业进行关闭改造使得市场上涌现一批清仓猪。 期货应该会在,8-9月开始回调,看好2026-0...展开",
"url": "https://xueqiu.com/S/SZ002714"
},
{
"title": "牧原股份(02714)股票股价_股价行情_财报_数据报告 - 雪球",
"body": "1 month ago - $牧原股份(SZ002714)$ 最近流行一种说法:美国史密斯菲尔德(Smithfield Foods)做到全产业链一体化、寡头垄断、长期稳态盈利,所以牧原最终也会走上这条路,可以用\"单头净利润70元×10倍PE\"的框架来给牧原定终局估值——比如700亿市值。 我仔细研究了这家公司和牧原的差异,结论...",
"url": "https://xueqiu.com/S/02714"
},
{
"title": "牧原股份(SZ002714) - 最新资讯",
"body": "$牧原股份(SZ002714)$刚看到钢联分析师判断,八月猪价估计会低位震荡,总体略低于七月,这个消息对养猪户来说是个噩耗了,但对买猪票的各位而言应该是个好消息了",
"url": "https://xueqiu.com/S/SZ002714/news"
}
],
"guba": [
{
"title": "牧原股份:2025年年度报告摘要_牧原股份(002714)股吧_东方财富网股吧",
"body": "March 27, 2026 - 证券代码:002714 证券简称:牧原股份 公告编号:2026-034 债券代码:127045 债券简称:牧原转债 牧原食品股份有限公司 2025 年年度报告摘要 一、重要提示 本年度报告摘要来自年度报告全文,为全面了解本公司的经营成果、...",
"url": "https://guba.eastmoney.com/news,002714,1686009299.html"
},
{
"title": "牧原股份:2026年一季度实现营业总收入298.94亿元_牧原股份(002714)股吧_东方财富网股吧",
"body": "中证智能财讯牧原股份(002714)4月22日披露2026年第一季度报告。公司实现营业总收入
... (truncated)
{
"trap_level": "🟢 安全",
"trap_score": 9,
"signals_hit": "0/8",
"signals_hit_count": 0,
"signals_hit_detail": [],
"recommendation": "数据正常,未发现明显推广痕迹。",
"evidence_count": 0,
"high_risk_kw": "未发现",
"snippets": {
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{
"title": "东兴证券给予牧原股份强烈推荐评级:2024年量利齐升,2025年持续高质...",
"body": "Mar 21, 2025 · 每经AI快讯,东兴证券03月21日发布研报称,给予牧原股份(002714.SZ)强烈推荐评级。 评级理由主要包括:1)生猪养殖量利齐升,完全成本持续下行;2)屠宰已实现单月盈利,盈利能力有望持续改善;3)海外业务和智能化贡献新看点。",
"url": "https://guba.eastmoney.com/news,002714,1531173577.html"
},
{
"title": "牧原股份 (002714)_最新价格_行情_走势图—东方财富网",
"body": "提供牧原股份 (002714)股票的行情走势、五档盘口、逐笔交易等实时行情数据,及牧原股份 (002714)的新闻资讯、公司公告、研究报告、行业研报、F10资料、行业资讯、资金流分析、阶段涨幅、所属板块、财务指标、机构观点、行业排名、估值水平、股吧互动等与牧 ...",
"url": "https://quote.eastmoney.com/sz002714.html"
}
],
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{
"title": "牧原股份强势拉升逻辑解析:猪瘟催化供给收缩预期,期现联动激活板块 - 股票复盘网",
"body": "牧原股份(2025-12-29)炒作逻辑:本文深度解析牧原股份今日大涨背后的核心逻辑,包括非洲猪瘟疫情催化供给收缩预期、期现市场联动、龙头优势凸显及政策托底预期,并对明日走势进行多情景预判,提供具体的持仓与交...",
"url": "https://002714.fupanwang.com/dsk/2025-12-29.html"
},
{
"title": "牧原股份涨4.82%,成交额38.71亿元,人气排名36位!后市是否有机会?附走势预测 港美股资讯 | 华盛通",
"body": "1 month ago - 热门资讯> 正文 · 7月6日,牧原股份涨4.82%,成交额38.71亿元,换手率3.07%,总市值2232.99亿元。",
"url": "https://www.hstong.com/news/detail/26070616302035214"
}
],
"signal_3": [
{
"title": "牧原股份旗下31...",
"body": "牧原股份回应表示,经公司财务部门核查,由于部分供应商未及时发起付款申请、少数出票银行
... (truncated)
{
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"xueqiu_meta": {
"http_status": 200,
"source": "http",
"login_required": true,
"hint": "set UZI_XQ_LOGIN=1 + run `python -m lib.xueqiu_browser login` (one-time)"
},
"tgb_mentions": [],
"ths_simu": [
{
"note": "ths simu endpoint requires login or blocked"
}
],
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"淘股吧 实盘 002714 持仓",
"挑战者杯 002714",
"雪球 实盘组合 002714 50%",
"全国期货实盘大赛 002714"
],
"_note": "⚠️ XueQiu cubes 接口 2026 起需登录。当前未启用 Playwright 登录,0 cube 收录。如需启用:export UZI_XQ_LOGIN=1 然后 python -m lib.xueqiu_browser login 一次性登录。或 --skip-login-sources 接受跳过(其他维度不影响)。"
}
| METRIC | MIN | MEDIAN | MAX | 目标分位 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PB | 0.96 | 2.04 | 3.66 | 75% |
| PS | 0.22 | 1.1 | 3.01 | 75% |